Quote:
Originally Posted by BlackVision
Do you believe Obama has a chance come November in the general election? Do you believe he's more electable than Hillary?
The latest heads up polls show Hillary would do better than Obama vs McCain by a couple points in a general election but that's just part of the story. Obama has lost all 3 critical swing states to Hillary. Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida to Hillary and all by considerable margins. And polls show he won't do any better against McCain in the general election. Current polls show that Obama would lose all 3 states to McCain whereas Hillary would win all 3 states. For Democrats to win the White House, winning 2 out of 3 of the above states is a must.
Does anybody here believe Obama has any chance at all especially in Florida? An elderly and hispanic state which is so far off from Obama's base? Rasmussen poll shows Obama trailing McCain by 15 points in Florida.
Florida: McCain vs. Obama. 53% McCain. 38% Obama McCain +15.0
Florida: McCain vs Clinton. 44% McCain. 45% Clinton Clinton +1.0
Source: Rasmussen 04/10 - 04/10; realclearpolitics.com
Ohio: McCain vs. Obama. 47% McCain. 45% Obama. McCain +2.0
Ohio: McCain vs. Clinton. 42% McCain. 53% Clinton. Clinton +11.0
Source: SurveyUSA 04/11 - 04/13; realclearpolitics.com
Pennsylvania: McCain vs Obama. 44% McCain. 43% Obama McCain +1.0
Pennsylvania: McCain vs Clinton. 42% McCain. 47% Clinton Clinton +5.0
Source: Rasmussen 04/24 - 04/24; realclearpolitics.com
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Do you believe that ANY democrat can win with less that 50% of the black vote---particularly if 30% of those voters VOTE REPUBLICAN?
Do you think that the repukes are not going to use this?
Florida has been Republican in all elections in the last 32 years except 1976 and 1996---are you folks learning impaired? There is NO even MARGINALLY rational basis for continuing to think that Hillary would win it.
Pennsylvannia goes republican if 20% of the african american vote does not turn out---or if 10% goes to the republicans.
Look---winning the dem primary in a state in no way indicates that the state would be dem in the national election. That is a retarded argument and you folks should get over it.