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Old 02-13-2008, 03:36 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Obama and math and pandering...

Today Obama announces:

Quote:
Obama proposes $210 billion for new jobs
Ten year plan focuses on construction, environmental employment
The Associated Press
updated 11:35 a.m. PT, Wed., Feb. 13, 2008
WASHINGTON - Democrat Barack Obama said Wednesday that as president he would spend $210 billion to create jobs in construction and environmental industries, as he tried to win over economically struggling voters.

Obama's investment would be over 10 years as part of two programs. The larger is $150 billion to create 5 million so-called "green collar" jobs to develop more environmentally friendly energy sources.

Obama proposes $210 billion for new jobs - Barack Obama News - MSNBC.com
Doing a little math, $210 billion over a ten year period equals about $21 billion per year. Now we don't know yet if he plans on spending $210 billion on labor only or for labor and materials?? Let's assume the best case that the $210 billion is only for labor. Compensation for jobs in construction and environmental industries will probably be a minimum of $40K annually. So if we divide $21 billion by $40,000 this program is designed to employee approximately 525,000 people. Yet his program says he will create 5 million jobs?? Okay...if we assume $40,000 annual pay and multiply this by 5 million jobs this equals approximately $200 billion per year??!! If it's a ten year program and the money is evenly spread, this will be a $2 trillion program...not a $200 billion program.

Someone please check my math and assumptions...thanks.

Further, Obama makes a gigantic assumption that the USA can remove itself from Iraq in the next couple of years. Yes we all desire this but Gates is already saying things are getting worse and not to pull out any troops. If Congress abides by their PAYGO policy, which goes like this...

"It shall not be in order to consider any bill, joint resolution, amendment, or conference report if the provisions of such measure affecting direct spending and revenues have the net effect of increasing the deficit or reducing the surplus for either the period comprising the current fiscal year and the five fiscal years beginning with the fiscal year that ends in the following calendar year or the period comprising the current fiscal year and the ten fiscal years beginning with the fiscal year that ends in the following calendar year."

...then this program cannot be funded using the Iraq occupation.

Finally, this is all about pandering, and I don't care which of the candidates does this. In this case it's Obama creating a fairy-tale scenario and playing to the weaknesses of so many who want better employment conditions. If so this is just as evil as insane-Bush and his 'fear tactics'.

And no matter if it's Obama or Clinton, all of us must pay close attention to what these people are saying to understand if their ideas have true merit or are just pandering for votes...

What do you think??
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Old 02-13-2008, 04:08 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Well I am definitely not an economic person, so someone will have to check me too but......

I think the government creates jobs by investing or incentivising the private sector in those areas.....not by paying salaries.

Hope that helps!
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Old 02-13-2008, 04:13 PM   #3 (permalink)
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I don't get concerned with what anyone there presently says about Iraq.

We can't leave cause it's getting better.

We can't leave cause it's getting worse.

All their can'ts is why obama is trying to bring a YES WE CAN sprirt to the white house!
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Old 02-13-2008, 05:41 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OldManOnFire View Post
Today Obama announces:



Doing a little math, $210 billion over a ten year period equals about $21 billion per year. Now we don't know yet if he plans on spending $210 billion on labor only or for labor and materials?? Let's assume the best case that the $210 billion is only for labor. Compensation for jobs in construction and environmental industries will probably be a minimum of $40K annually. So if we divide $21 billion by $40,000 this program is designed to employee approximately 525,000 people. Yet his program says he will create 5 million jobs?? Okay...if we assume $40,000 annual pay and multiply this by 5 million jobs this equals approximately $200 billion per year??!! If it's a ten year program and the money is evenly spread, this will be a $2 trillion program...not a $200 billion program.

Someone please check my math and assumptions...thanks.

Further, Obama makes a gigantic assumption that the USA can remove itself from Iraq in the next couple of years. Yes we all desire this but Gates is already saying things are getting worse and not to pull out any troops. If Congress abides by their PAYGO policy, which goes like this...

"It shall not be in order to consider any bill, joint resolution, amendment, or conference report if the provisions of such measure affecting direct spending and revenues have the net effect of increasing the deficit or reducing the surplus for either the period comprising the current fiscal year and the five fiscal years beginning with the fiscal year that ends in the following calendar year or the period comprising the current fiscal year and the ten fiscal years beginning with the fiscal year that ends in the following calendar year."

...then this program cannot be funded using the Iraq occupation.

Finally, this is all about pandering, and I don't care which of the candidates does this. In this case it's Obama creating a fairy-tale scenario and playing to the weaknesses of so many who want better employment conditions. If so this is just as evil as insane-Bush and his 'fear tactics'.

And no matter if it's Obama or Clinton, all of us must pay close attention to what these people are saying to understand if their ideas have true merit or are just pandering for votes...

What do you think??
Me thinks that somehow they are guessing jobs will be created as spinoffs of this money...support industries...but who knows...

and yeah....you're right...it won't all be labor...otherwise they would be really low paying jobs...I'm willing to bet that it will be subisidies for already existing companies....
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Old 02-13-2008, 05:49 PM   #5 (permalink)
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These are 30,000 a yr jobs in other words they will be manual labor type jobs. They will probably be filled by illegals. I am sure they will accomplish their goals on coming up with new environmentally friendly type energy on $30,000 a year jobs. It will be called walking.
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Old 02-13-2008, 05:56 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DRS112 View Post
Me thinks that somehow they are guessing jobs will be created as spinoffs of this money...support industries...but who knows...

and yeah....you're right...it won't all be labor...otherwise they would be really low paying jobs...I'm willing to bet that it will be subisidies for already existing companies....
The article states that 5 million green collar jobs will be created with 150 billion and 2 million infrastructure jobs created with 60 billion. One can only assume that he is counting it as 500,000 green collar jobs a year for the next 10 years and 200,000 created over the next 10 years.

So much for winning the confidence of the American people in his knowledge of running the country's economy.
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Old 02-13-2008, 05:58 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bornright View Post
The article states that 5 million green collar jobs will be created with 150 billion and 2 million infrastructure jobs created with 60 billion. One can only assume that he is counting it as 500,000 green collar jobs a year for the next 10 years and 200,000 created over the next 10 years.

So much for winning the confidence of the American people in his knowledge of running the country's economy.
That's pretty much my biggest disillusionment with the Democratic party...they pretend they can do things economically that can't be done....it's just pandering. But the R's haven't been much better. So much for showing fiscal restraint when the had control of all 3 branches of govt.
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Old 02-13-2008, 06:02 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DRS112 View Post
That's pretty much my biggest disillusionment with the Democratic party...they pretend they can do things economically that can't be done....it's just pandering. But the R's haven't been much better. So much for showing fiscal restraint when the had control of all 3 branches of govt.
I do not disagree.
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Old 02-13-2008, 08:22 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RK77 View Post
Well I am definitely not an economic person, so someone will have to check me too but......

I think the government creates jobs by investing or incentivising the private sector in those areas.....not by paying salaries.

Hope that helps!
If his idea is to create 7 million jobs via business incentives, then good luck achieving this in a decade. Where will the money go--to development, research, new technologies? And when there are products to be produced, if they are required in large quantities, and they are built by private enterprise, the manufacturing will be outsourced outside of the USA.
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Old 02-13-2008, 08:34 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RK77 View Post
I don't get concerned with what anyone there presently says about Iraq.

We can't leave cause it's getting better.

We can't leave cause it's getting worse.

All their can'ts is why obama is trying to bring a YES WE CAN sprirt to the white house!
Problem is RK77...it's all spirit with no wheels!!

As much as any of us wish to get out of Iraq, the dismal reputation that the USA now has due to insane-Bush, will multiply one hundred times if the USA prematurely abandons Iraq. The USA destroyed Iraq and the USA has a responsibility to put all the good pieces back together again. Some can blame the current Iraqi government but I say the USA should have known it will take years or decades to develop a fully functioning government--it must evolve through tremendous turmoil in it's own style and it's own time frame. Meanwhile, the USA must provide security to Iraqi citizens. So how long will this take is anyone's guess?? We never hear a single word about how the training is going for the Iraqi army and police?? We know the current government is in chaos. We know there are three cultural factions who hate each other's guts. Iraq will be a black hole if it fails and will suck in neighboring countries perhaps into WWIII--a regional war of the Middle East. And how many allies does the USA have in their coalition??

Obama can have the Iraq funding but not for at least ten years...
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