AOL Straw Poll shows Clinton in the lead 58% to Obama at 42%!

MarkMiller · 03-31-2008, 10:11 PM

Polls are such funny things. I don't know that any single poll in this country is truly accurate but this one has Votes in the hundreds of thousands each week, while the Gallop poll uses only a sampling of 1000 a day.

Who knows but it is worth noting if nothing else.

Straw Poll: Dec. 21 - Jan. 4 - Political Machine

While that link shows dates Dec through Jan it links to the current March 31st - April 7th poll.

Right now the poll shows Clinton ahead in all states, but it changes drastically as it updates in real time.

DRS112 · 03-31-2008, 10:12 PM

Internet based polls differ greatly from polls done by professional companies....

MarkMiller · 03-31-2008, 10:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DRS112

Internet based polls differ greatly from polls done by professional companies....

And they all end up dead wrong in the end these days.

DRS112 · 03-31-2008, 10:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dr. Zaius

And they all end up dead wrong in the end these days.

eh...to be honest...the variances that have been seen are due to the tight race and the margin of error...at least in the professional ones...the Internet ones have no margin of error because there is zero reliability....

aloysious · 03-31-2008, 10:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dr. Zaius

And they all end up dead wrong in the end these days.

Too bad they are. Ron Paul would be the Republican nominee by a landslide if they were right.

MarkMiller · 03-31-2008, 10:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aloysious

Too bad they are. Ron Paul would be the Republican nominee by a landslide if they were right.

These polls can be good and bad.....but generaly I don't trust them much.

The_Heretic · 03-31-2008, 10:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dr. Zaius

And they all end up dead wrong in the end these days.

AOL has never been accurate. You'll note the absence of the margin of error or other critical details like how long the polling's been done or what criteria. For all we know it was possible to submit votes many times being that it doesn't matter.

And worst of all...

It's AOL. These poor bastards can't give their software away, literally!

MarkMiller · 03-31-2008, 11:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The_Heretic

AOL has never been accurate. You'll note the absence of the margin of error or other critical details like how long the polling's been done or what criteria. For all we know it was possible to submit votes many times being that it doesn't matter.

And worst of all...

It's AOL. These poor bastards can't give their software away, literally!

Although the vote is only once for each person there are many reasons this poll has problems with accuracy that's for sure.....but so do all polls, even Gallop.

As I said I really don't trust them that much.

julia · 03-31-2008, 11:15 PM

I know no one -45 who still has AOL.

MarkMiller · 03-31-2008, 11:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by julia

I know no one -45 who still has AOL.

I dropped AOL in the mid 90's and went with Net Zero untill they started charging. It was a good ride while it lasted. Had internet for free for about a year.

Now I have Surewest DSL....love it.

03-31-2008, 10:11 PM	#1 (permalink)
MarkMiller Dr. Zaius, Mark M. Archery 2000 Champion! Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 4,317 Thanks: 72 Thanked 47 Times in 37 Posts	AOL Straw Poll shows Clinton in the lead 58% to Obama at 42%! Polls are such funny things. I don't know that any single poll in this country is truly accurate but this one has Votes in the hundreds of thousands each week, while the Gallop poll uses only a sampling of 1000 a day. Who knows but it is worth noting if nothing else. Straw Poll: Dec. 21 - Jan. 4 - Political Machine While that link shows dates Dec through Jan it links to the current March 31st - April 7th poll. Right now the poll shows Clinton ahead in all states, but it changes drastically as it updates in real time.
	Top

03-31-2008, 10:12 PM	#2 (permalink)
DRS112 Administrator Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 6,340 My Mood: Thanks: 71 Thanked 115 Times in 85 Posts	Internet based polls differ greatly from polls done by professional companies....
	Top

03-31-2008, 11:15 PM	#9 (permalink)
julia Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 3,466 Blog Entries: 7 Thanks: 232 Thanked 230 Times in 137 Posts	I know no one -45 who still has AOL. __________________ The candidate does not speak for the campaign.
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